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Gold Derby nuggets: Globe nominees not always Oscar-worthy | Sasha Stone's SAG kudos preview | Does 'Avatar' tune hit right notes?
2 hours ago
• Erik Childress crunches the numbers to find the correlation between being nominated for a Golden Globe and landing an Oscar nod. As Erik discovers, "In the last decade of the 54 films nominated for Best Drama, only 32 have received a Best Picture nomination. That's only 59%. Not even a 'fresh' at Rotten Tomatoes. As for the comedies, well we know how Oscar feels about comedies and only 9 of the 50 nominees in the Globes second category have been tapped by the Academy." Cinematical • Nikki Finke admits, "I love awards season because my email and voicemail get filled with negative campaigning about all the Academy Awards hopefuls. (Such holiday cheer is out...
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- tomoneil
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Poll: Who'll win the Golden Globe for best drama actor? George Clooney? Jeff Bridges?
3 hours ago
The reason that "Up in the Air" soared off with the most Golden Globe nominations is obvious: Everybody's gone Clooney-crazy this year. So doesn't that mean that George will automatically win best drama actor?
Hold your horses, Derbyites! Golden Globe voters like to spread their gold around. As things stand now, most pundits predict that "Up in the Air" will win best drama picture. Sometimes voters give out a best-actor bookend with the Globe prize (Leo DiCaprio won for best picture champ "The Aviator," Russell Crowe won for best pic "A Beautiful Mind"), but often they don't (Crowe didn't win for best pic "Gladiator").
Globe voters like big, hambone performances, the showier the better, like the last two previous winners: Mickey Rourke ("The Wrestler") and Daniel Day-Lewis ("There Will Be Blood"). If that same pattern repeats, then Jeff Bridges has the edge for stumbling around drunk, flashing lots of ham
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- tomoneil
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Poll: Which Golden Globe nominee will win best comedy/musical picture?
3 hours ago
Normally, Golden Globe voters automatically choose successful musicals in the race for best comedy/musical picture. Past champs include "Sweeney Todd," "Dreamgirls," "Walk the Line," "Chicago," "Moulin Rouge," "Evita," etc. However, box office blockbuster "Mamma Mia" lost last year to "Vicky Cristina Barcelona," probably because film critics weren't dancing in the aisles alongside crazed moviegoers.
That means "Nine" might be in trouble at the Golden Globes this year, if it doesn't rally soon with reviewers. It's only scoring 26% at RottenTomatoes.
Was the anti-"Mamma Mia" vote last year a slap at Meryl Streep? If so, she's got two films in contention in this category now: "It's Complicated" and "Julie & Julia."
Globers don't usually endorse laffers with a fratboy sensibility like "The Hangover." They didn't even nominate "Knocked Up" or "The 40-Year-Old Virgin," but I hear that Hfpa members are popping champagne corks over this one this year.
"(500) Days of Summer" was a surprise inclusion,
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- tomoneil
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Gold Derby nuggets: Golden Globes analysis | Rock and Roll Hof inductees | 'Dexter' producer cuts loose
15 December 2009 2:30 PM, PST
• In his first forecast of the Golden Globes, Scott Feinberg predicts "Up in the Air" to win best drama, director (Jason Reitman) and actor (George Clooney) though Mo'Nique ("Precious") will best the "Air" supporting actresses -- Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick -- and Quentin Tarantino will win for his "Inglorious Basterds" script. Scott also thinks Meryl Streep as a real-life chef in "Julie & Julia" will edge out Meryl Streep as a fictional caterer in "It's Complicated" to win the comedy actress award. And The Winner Is • Dave Karger admits, "I had the strange experience of meeting Jeff Bridges for the first time in front of millions of people on the 'Today' show...
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- tomoneil
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Golden Globes welcome TV newcomers
15 December 2009 11:31 AM, PST
Coming halfway through the TV season, the Golden Globes get a chance to be the first awards to honor new shows. This year the freshman hits "Glee" and "Modern Family" contend for comedy series. And with "Glee" stars Matthew Morrison and Lea Michele landing lead nods and Jane Lynch competing in the catch-all supporting category, the Fox comedy tops all TV shows with four nominations. Besides Morrison, the other newcomer in the lead actor comedy race is "Hung" star Thomas Jane. (Though that HBO hit did not land a series nod, supporting player Jane Adams did get recognized.) They compete against three past winners of this award -- two-time champ Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock," 2007,...
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- tomoneil
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Pssst ... Here's who is ahead to win the Golden Globes
15 December 2009 10:58 AM, PST
Now that nominations are out, I'll have to resume snooping amidst Hollywood Foreign Press Assn. members soon and count up Golden Globe votes to give you the best spy report. Till then, here's my handicapping of the top film categories. Winners will be announced Jan. 17. Best Drama Picture Forget "Avatar." Normally the Hfpa scorns popcorn pix, so it's a miracle that the Golden Globes nominated it. "Precious" is probably out of it, too. Voters love it, but they're not bonkers about it like some other Hollywood insiders. They didn't nominate Lee Daniels for best director. "The Hurt Locker" has momentum coming off its double victories at the voting conclaves of the New York and...
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- tomoneil
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Meryl Streep reaches 25 Golden Globe nominations
15 December 2009 10:40 AM, PST
With her double bids for lead actress in a comedy/musical ("It's Complicated," "Julie & Julia"), Meryl Streep solidified the record she set last year as all-time Golden Globe nominations champ. Beginning with a supporting nod in 1978 for "The Deer Hunter," Streep has amassed a staggering 25 Golden Globe bids over the years. Going into last year's Golden Globe race, Streep sat one nom behind Jack Lemmon who racked up 22 lead nods and 4 wins (movie drama — 0/6; movie comedy — 3/10; and TV movie/mini — 1/6) over 40 years beginning in 1960. Streep earned nods no. 22 and 23 for lead actress in a drama ("Doubt") and comedy/musical ("Mamma Mia!"). She lost...
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- tomoneil
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Biggest snubs at the Golden Globe nominations: Hey, where's 'Invictus,' 'A Serious Man' and poor Bryan Cranston?
15 December 2009 9:15 AM, PST
When Golden Globe nominations were unveiled this morning, Clint Eastwood was nominated for best director and Morgan Freeman and Matt Damon scored bids as thespians, but "Invictus" was snubbed in the race for best drama picture. This same odd split occurred in 2006 when Eastwood was nominated Twice for best director for "Flags of Our Fathers" and "Letters From Iwo Jima," but "Flags" was snubbed for best drama picture. ("Iwo Jima" wasn't eligible for that category but ended up contending for best foreign-lingo film.) Speaking of that directors' category: where's Lee Daniels ("Precious")? Other Golden Globe oddities: "A Serious Man" wasn't taken too seriously in the race for best comedy/musical picture. It got skunked, but...
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- tomoneil
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Golden Globe nominations: 13 bids by comedy/musical best-pic rivals
15 December 2009 9:00 AM, PST
The Golden Globe nominations include 13 bids for the five films up for best comedy/musical: "Nine" (5) - picture, actor, actress, supporting actress, song "It's Complicated" (3) - picture, actress, screenplay "(500) Days of Summer" (2) - picture, actor "Julie & Julia" (2) - picture, actress "The Hangover" (1) - picture Among the other notable contenders are: "The Informant!" (2) - actor, score "Duplicity" (1) - actress "The Proposal" (1) - actress "A Serious Man" (1) - actor "Sherlock Holmes" (1) - actor Photos: "Nine" poster (The Weinstein Co.), "It's Complicated" poster (Universal) Related Posts Golden Globe nominations: 20 bids by drama best-pic rivals Inside track: Here's how we handicapped the Golden Globes nominations in...
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- tomoneil
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Golden Globe nominations: 20 bids by drama best-pic rivals
15 December 2009 8:41 AM, PST
The Golden Globe nominations include 20 bids for the five nominees up for best drama picture: "Up in the Air" (6) - picture, actor, supporting actress, supporting actress, director, screenplay "Avatar" (4) - picture, director, score, song "Inglourious Basterds" (4) - picture, director, supporting actor, screenplay "The Hurt Locker" (3) - picture, director, screenplay "Precious" (3) - picture, actress, supporting actress Among the other notable contenders are: "Invictus" (3) - actor, supporting actor, director "A Single Man" (3) - actor, supporting actress, score "Brothers" (2) - actor, song "Crazy Heart" (2) - actor, song "The Last Station" (2) - actress, supporting actor "Broken Embraces" (1) - actress "An Education" (1) - actress "The Young Victoria"...
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- tomoneil
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Blame N.Y. and L.A. film critics: Why 'The Hurt Locker' may be doomed at the Oscars
14 December 2009 9:34 PM, PST
So far I've received dozens of emails and Facebook messages from fans of "The Hurt Locker" overjoyed that their beloved film won best-picture trophies from both the New York and Los Angeles film critics. "Next stop, the big enchilada at the Oscars!" promises one Gold Derby reader. Um … wait … maybe you should make alternate plans for dinner, dear Derbyites — just in case. Over the past 25 years, eight movies claimed that same double victory. Only one ended up feasting on the top Oscar: "Schindler's List" (1993). All of the others lost best picture at the Oscars after claiming the same kudo from critics on opposite coasts: "Brokeback Mountain" (2005) "Sideways" (2004), "Saving...
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- tomoneil
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Oscars' best pix predix: Six pundits pick 'Up in the Air'
14 December 2009 9:31 PM, PST
Over this past weekend — before the unveiling of Golden Globe and Critics Choice nominations and winners of New York and L.A. film critics' awards — I recruited more Oscar predix from prominent pundits, including these: Thelma Adams (Us Weekly), Mark Harris (Entertainment Weekly), Peter Howell (Toronto Star), Harry Medved (Fandango), Sam Rubin (Ktla), Sasha Stone (AwardsDaily). Notice that all of these gurus believe "Up in the Air" will soar off with the best-picture laurels. Compare these predix to the forecasts of additional Oscar gurus here, here and here. Best Picture Adams Harris Howell Medved Rubin Stone "Avatar" 3 5 9 7 2 2 "District 9" 9 "An Education" 7 10 7 5 7 9...
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- tomoneil
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Expansion of Oscar's best-picture race to 10: Is it all Harvey's fault?
14 December 2009 8:26 PM, PST
"Personally, I think it's a bad idea," Harvey Weinstein said yesterday when we chatted about the widening of Oscar's best-picture race to 10 nominees. "When the category was smaller, it felt like more of an achievement getting in. Now, with 10, it's not going to feel so special." Maybe so, but the expansion may actually be Harvey's fault — that is, if a theory posed by a past Oscar champ (Ron Howard, "A Beautiful Mind") is true. Yesterday Harvey hosted a small, elite lunch in New York with his cast members of "Nine" (Daniel Day-Lewis, Nicole Kidman, Marion Cotillard, Judi Dench) plus media wags and reigning Oscar royalty like Ron Howard at Per Se restaurant...
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- tomoneil
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Gold Derby nuggets: 'Precious' tops with African American critics | Tony No. 6 for Angela Lansbury? | 'The Climb' could top UK chart
14 December 2009 4:23 PM, PST
• Scott Gaita reports that "Precious" was named best film of the year by the African-American Film Critics Assn. The film also won best director for Lee Daniels, supporting actress for Mo’Nique and screenplay for Geoffrey Fletcher (tying with Ron Clements, Rob Edwards and John Musker for "The Princess and the Frog.") However, Nicole Beharie was named best actress for "American Violet" over "Precious" star Gabby Sidibe. Morgan Freeman was selected best actor for "Invictus." The Circuit
• For Richard Rushfield, "Another slew of awards and nominations came in this weekend and the result is that this year's stagnant deathmarch of an Oscar race got a tiny bit shaken up, or at least it got a bit more confusing." As Richard writes, "for most of the season a troika of damaged contenders have been assumed to have a lock on nominations, with the assumption that one of them would take the top prize,
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- tomoneil
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Inside track: Golden Globes nominations
14 December 2009 3:06 PM, PST
Before Justin Timberlake, John Krasinski and Diane Kruger read out the nominees for the 67th annual Golden Globe awards on Tuesday morning, be sure to read all the previews listed below:
Inside
track: Golden Globes' race for best drama picture
Inside
track: Golden Globes' race for best comedy/musical picture
Inside track on the Golden Globes' race for best drama
actor
Inside
track: Golden Globes' race for best drama actress
Inside
track: Golden Globes' race for best comedy/musical actor
Inside track: Golden Globes' race for best
comedy/musical actress
Inside track: TV drama series races at the Golden Globes
Inside track: TV comedy races at the Golden Globes
Photo: Golden Globe telecast Credit: NBC
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- tomoneil
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WGA TV nods for old guard 'Mad Men' and '30 Rock' as well as newcomers 'Glee' and 'Modern Family'
14 December 2009 2:16 PM, PST
The WGA TV nominations announced Monday include comedy series nods for freshman hits "Glee" and "Modern Family" as well as last year's winner "30 Rock," "Curb Your Enthusiasm" and "The Office." The drama contenders include last year's champ "Mad Men" as well as "Breaking Bad," "Dexter," "Friday Night Lights" and "Lost." Besides these series races, there are also single-episode categories in both genres with "Mad Men," "30 Rock" and "The Office" scoring double nods. The combined new series race includes bids by both "Glee" and "Modern Family" as well as "The Good Wife," "Hung" and "Nurse Jackie." And the catch-all variety and talk category includes nods for last year's champ "Saturday Night Live" as well...
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- tomoneil
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Behind the scenes of the Gotham film critics awards
14 December 2009 1:54 PM, PST
Our good pal Lou Lumenick, film critic for the New York Post, has written a must-read item detailing the results of various rounds of balloting by the New York Film Critics Circle. As Lou notes, "the Nyfcc and the Los Angeles Film Critics Assn. rarely agree on their top choices" and yet "the New Yorkers almost exactly duplicated the L.A. list." And unlike previous years when compromises seemed to be commonplace, this year only the best documentary award went to a contender ("Time and the City") that was not leading either alone or in a tie on the first ballot. The first round of voting was a single choice by the 21 members present and...
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- tomoneil
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Gotham critics agree 'The Hurt Locker' is year's best
14 December 2009 10:57 AM, PST
The New York film critics have agreed with their L.A. counterparts and named "The Hurt Locker" the best picture of the year and "Hurt" helmer Kathryn Bigelow best director. Although the L.A. team went with Jeff Bridges ("Crazy Heart") for best actor, the New York crew of critics preferred George Clooney, citing his work in both "Up in the Air" and "Fantastic Mr. Fox." They did not do the same for his "Fox" voice-over costar Meryl Streep, who won best actress just for "Julie & Julia." The L.A. choice for that award was Yolande Moreau in the little-seen "Seraphine" As in L.A., winners for supporting roles were Christoph Waltz ("Inglourious Basterds") and Mo'Nique ("Precious"). Though...
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- tomoneil
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100% approval with Bfca not enough for 'Me and Orson Welles'
14 December 2009 10:04 AM, PST
With just a single nod today for supporting-actor Christian McKay, you wouldn't know "Me & Orson Welles" was one of only two mainstream films to rate 100% approval from the Broadcast Film Critics Assn. this year. The other movie with a perfect score -- "Up" -- is among the 10 films in the best-picture race and also is contending for screenplay, score and animated feature at the Critics' Choice Movie Awards. As noted Oscarologist Wayman Wong writes, "Did 'Orson' lose out because it's a small independent movie, and not as flashy and doesn't have the big names? Shouldn't a movie that scores 100% approval from its members at least be in the top 10?" Besides...
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- tomoneil
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'Inglourious Basterds,' 'Nine' lead Critics Choice Awards
14 December 2009 6:33 AM, PST
Finally, here comes "Inglourious Basterds" breaking onto the derby track with all guns blazing — just as I had warned you would happen. It ties "Nine" for the most Critics' Choice Movie Awards nominations (10), including best picture, director, etc. That's the most bids in these awards' history, by the way. Just this year, the Broadcast Film Critics Assn. added new categories for the tech races, where "Basterds" is particularly strong (cinematography, editing, etc.) See the full list of nominees at the Bfca site. Best Picture "Avatar" "An Education" "The Hurt Locker" "Inglourious Basterds" "Invictus" "Nine" "Precious" "A Serious Man" "Up" "Up in the Air" Best Directing Kathryn Bigelow, "The Hurt Locker" James Cameron, "Avatar"...
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- tomoneil
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